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  • Writer's pictureMariah Nimmons

Regional Ripples

A NOTE: Our Russia-Ukraine Resources are updated weekly - if you're accessing the page a week or more past the below date, pieces mentioned in this post may have been removed to make room for up-to-date resources.


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Updated Resources - February 14, 2024


Skyline of Taipei, Taiwan at sunset viewed from Elephant Mountain in 2017. From the outset of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, experts have debated the war's implications for China and Taiwan. (Man Ng, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons)


KEY DEVELOPMENTS



 

Finland became a member of NATO on April 4, 2023. The flags of Finland and NATO were raised this morning in front of the main building of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Merikasarm. ("Suomesta Naton jäsen 4.4.2023" by Finnish Government is licensed under CC BY 2.0)


WHAT'S ON OUR MIND


In addition to our weekly resource update, today we also offer an updated collection of pieces on the Israeli-Hamas war.


Following a week of developments that piqued the interest of global media outlets, we turn to the ripples emanating from the Ukraine war. On the conflict’s periphery, nations feel the push and pull of shifting power throughout the region. In NATO and the West, it’s led to re-militarization and an ongoing struggle to balance Ukrainian aid against domestic needs. Within Asia, experts scrutinize the war’s impact on the interplay between Russia and China, China and the US, and what it signals for Taiwan. In today’s resource update, learn more about the dynamics in flux.


We first consider the regions neighboring the war. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace examines Turkey’s balancing act between Russia and the West. In another piece, the publication explores the geopolitical vacillation in the South Caucasus that sees a pivot towards Middle Eastern influence as Russian power in the region wanes. Farther North, The Conversation contrasts the degrees of propaganda’s efficacy in both Russia and Belarus.

On the Scandinavian peninsula, Foreign Policy examines how the war has disrupted regional neutrality and delves into the growing militarization of the arctic, and Responsible Statecraft reports that Sweden has concluded its probe into the September 2022 Nord Stream sabotage. Along the Russian border, the Wilson Center summarizes Baltic aid to Ukraine, and Foreign Policy offers insight into the abandonment of military neutrality, shift towards militarization, and historical strain between NATO’s newest member nation, Finland, and Russia.


Regarding NATO enlargement, Foreign Affairs makes the case for why European security and Ukrainian survival requires the latter’s ascension to the alliance. At the intersection of Russia and the West, The Washington Post reports on Trump’s recent NATO remarks and their impact on US allies. Russia in Global Affairs offers a Russian perspective on NATO’s post-Cold War evolution, with particular attention paid to changes after the 2014 ‘reunification’ of Crimea. Editor-in-chief of the aforementioned publication, Fyodor Lukyanov, queries the real motivation behind Tucker Carlson’s Putin interview in a piece from RT.


For Ukraine, current relations with Europe and the US remain crucial yet complex. European consternation over the stalled US aid to Ukraine is relayed in Foreign Policy. The Washington Post reports that the US Senate has passed a $95Bn aid package for Ukraine, Israel, and other allies, which now faces uncertainty in the House of Representatives. The people’s will regarding this foreign aid, and the package’s role in discourse surrounding the US presidential election are examined in The National Interest.


We close with a look to the war’s east. China’s role in mediating Ukrainian peace - and the nation’s missed opportunities - are explored in Foreign Policy. In a different piece, the publication surveys the expert debate over whether the US response to Ukraine has deterred China. Foreign Affairs offers a perspective on the opportunity costs of supplying weapons to Ukraine within that framework. Finally, The Insider reports on how Taiwan has grown to be an important supplier of high-precision metalworking machines to Russia, and how Myanmar’s ruling junta supports the Russian war effort.


In the overview, how today’s conflicts resemble those that preceded WWII. Find also a joint report on the destruction in Mariupol from Human Rights Watch, SITU Research, and Truth Hounds who call for a war crimes investigation. In videos, learn what Russian elections will mean for Ukraine, why Zelensky made changes to his top military command, and how Ukraine's new generation of artists combine patriotic and civic activity with universal values. In the arts, a Russian film explores the ‘unconventional housing market’ of Mariupol and Ukrainian electro-folk phenomenon Onuka blends modernity and respect for tradition.


Find these stories, as well as opposing perspectives on Tucker Carlson’s recent interview with Putin and the military leadership shake-up in Ukraine on today’s Russia-Ukraine resource page. Visit our blog for updated resources on the Israel-Hamas War, as well as new reflections on this conflict from our network on the ground in Israel.


 




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